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They know nothing: why the predictions of the cryptography market continue to fail

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  • Crypto’s predictions are rarely accurate, but they play a crucial role in the formation of feeling, the food of innovation and the dynamics of the industry. While figures like Robert Kiyosaki and Michael Saylor often miss the brand, their daring forecasts stimulate the conversation and the interest of investments. Trust with caution – but do not fully ignore visionaries.

    • Expert predictions are often wrong, but they influence the feeling of the market, stimulate discussions and maintain the dynamics of cryptographic industry.
    • Speculations and daring visions, even if unrealistic, are essential to stimulate innovation and interest in cryptographic space.
    • Although skepticism is necessary, completely ignoring expert ideas means missing precious perspectives that shape the future of industry.

    Predictions, predictions, predictions … The cryptographic industry is overflowing with expert forecasts on the place where the market is heading. Some are based on the past cycles of Bitcoin, others on the information of the initiates – or simply a blind faith in the rise or the fall of assets.

    When Robert Kiyosaki proclaims the imminent collapse of the US dollar and Bitcoin that climbs $ 200,000, he is tempting to believe, buy and dream of wealth. But should we trust such daring complaints? Let’s take a closer look.

    Dollar Die Papa, Bitcoin ร  la Moon dad?

    In February 2023, the entrepreneur, the investor, and the rich dad, the author of the poor dad, Robert Kiyosaki, predicted that Bitcoin would reach $ 500,000 by 2025. This prediction has already missed the brand.

    In August 2023, he was back there – indicate the death of the US dollar and predict Bitcoin would reach $ 120,000 in 2024. Again, he left. From now on, the top of all Bitcoin time is $ 109,114 Coinmarketcap.

    Then, in January 2024, Kiyosaki tried once again, this time, saying that Bitcoin would reach $ 150,000 after the approval of an ETF Bitcoin in the United States a year later, what do we see? Bitcoin did not even support levels above the psychological bar of $ 100,000.

    Obviously, Kiyosaki forecasts should be taken with skepticism. If you throw a new Bitcoin prediction every week, ultimately, we will be correct, but how misunasted in the process?

    Maximum strategy for microstrategy

    Michael Saylor – Entrepreneur, founder of microstrategy and main Bitcoin Maxi – takes a different approach from his predictions.

    In July 2024, he made a daring complaint: Bitcoin will reach $ 13 million by 2045. But how realistic it is? Will Saylor even be there to be held responsible? Go Bitcoin? This type of declaration is Classic Saylor – promising an unimaginable wealth for Bitcoin investors, as long as they are ready to wait.

    In the summer of 2020, Microstrategy became the first company listed on the Nasdaq to convert part of its capital into Bitcoin. Since then, the company has continued to accumulate BTC. In March 2025, Microstrategy owned 499,096 BTC – more than $ 44 billion Bitcointheries.

    In December 2023, Saylor made another daring complaint: Bitcoin will fall to zero or soar $ 1 million. This blind type of faith in an infinite assessment of prices is more like a casino bet than an investment thesis. In particular, Saylor did not specify when investors should expect Bitcoin to reach this price.

    The avalanche of predictions will not stop

    Take a look at these forecasts. How exactly have been? None.

    • $ 100,000 before April 2024 half – half – Adam backCEO of BlockStream.
    • $ 150,000 by the end of 2024 – Tom LeeManaging partner and research manager at FUNSTRAT GLOBAL ADVISORS.
    • $ 150,000 by the end of 2024 – Mark YuskoCEO of Morgan Creek Capital.
    • $ 250,000 by the end of 2024 – Tim Draperbillionaire capitalSt.

    These are not only random Twitter influencers – they are professional investors, CEOs of large companies and respected figures. However, if they cannot even predict the market precisely, why should someone trust their calls?

    However, the prediction avalanche continues to grow.

    Anthony Scaramucci, founder of Skybridge Capital, forecast Bitcoin at $ 170,000 in 2025.

    Tom Lee consider $ 250,000 in 2025 and $ 500,000 in five years.

    Charles Hoskinson, founder of Cardano, expect Bitcoin to reach $ 500,000 in two years.

    Jack Dorsey, co-founder of Twitter, predict $ 1 M by 2030.

    Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, believes In $ 1.5 million per BTC on the same date.

    A handful of experts at least try to justify their forecasts. In November 2024, Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, suggested This bitcoin could reach $ 500,000 – if the United States includes it in its strategic national reserve.

    Even Peter Schiff, a well -known Bitcoin critic, extended This bitcoin could reach $ 10 million by 2031, but only in an extreme scenario where the US dollar collapsed as the German paper in the early 20th century.

    The papermark was the currency of Germany during the First World War, presented in 1914 to replace the previous brand with golden back. In the early 1920s, hyperinflation had devastated its value, the highest name ticket ticket reaching 100 billions of points.

    In the end, the only prediction that seems to be true is the following: experts will continue to make extremely inaccurate predictions – but people will continue to believe them.

    A blessing or a curse? A necessary force

    While crypto experts often miss the brand with their daring forecasts, their role in the industry is undeniable. Predictions – of precision or not – fuel discussions, shape the stories and arouse interest in the market.

    Even when their forecasts fail spectacularly, experts provide precious information, question conventional thinking and encourage investors to explore new perspectives. Without them, cryptographic space would lack speculation and vision which would maintain it dynamic and evolutionary.

    Thus, although the confidence of each prediction of experts is a risky bet, rejecting them entirely is just as short. The cryptography industry thrives on daring ideas, major visions and sometimes – even the necessary illusions.

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    post url: https://altcoin.observer/they-know-nothing-why-the-predictions-of-the-cryptography-market-continue-to-fail/

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